May 18, 2021


Global Automotive

New motor vehicle profits for Dec 2020 replicate glimmers of hope, but marketplace stays frustrated

The South African new-car current market ongoing to get better relatively in December 2020, but the field continues to be depressed as a consequence of the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic, equally domestically and abroad…

Photograph by Obi Onyeador on Unsplash

To say that 2020 was a tough 12 months is an understatement and the South African automotive market has taken a suitable pounding, and significantly like the economic climate in common, it is struggled to recover and it may get lots of extra months and even decades to reach pre-Covid degrees.

December 2020 motor vehicle income figures, released right now by the National Association of Automobile Companies of South Africa (Naamsa), are not significantly inspiring but they do mirror glimmers of hope. 

Take a glance at the summary below as properly as the outlook for 2021:

– Combination new automobile revenue of 37,493 models down by 10.1{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3} as opposed to December 2019.  

– Passenger motor vehicle product sales of 24,784 models down by 14.4{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3} in comparison to December 2019. 

– Light-weight Business Car or truck (LCV) product sales of 10,801 models up by 3.2{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3} as opposed to December 2019. 

– Exports of 18,479 models up by 36.3{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3} when compared to December 2019. 

It is value noting that Covid-19 resulted in a massive new motor vehicle revenue decrease of 156,163 models or 29.1{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3} from 536,612 models in 2019 to the 380,449 models in 2020, inspite of interest price cuts of 300-foundation factors for the duration of the 12 months. 

Exports also registered notable declines in 2020 with a drop of 29.8{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3} or 115,273 units from the 387,092 cars exported in 2019 to the 271 819 models exported in 2020.

The present-day current market proceeds to mirror a purchasing-down development with the made use of car market place being specially strong. The premium car or truck market place was below large force in 2020 and this continues to be the circumstance.

Outlook for 2021

Naamsa expects the South African economy to rebound sharply in 2021, albeit from a extremely very low base coming out of 2020. Having said that, Naamsa warns that it will choose time for customer self confidence to rebuild. Medium-time period progress, nevertheless, is most likely to be constrained by new probable Covid-19 infection waves, stricter lockdown steps, fiscal tightening and potential electric power-provide disruptions. 

Demand for new cars is very likely to remain frustrated for the limited-expression while the Rand exchange price, destructive organization self-confidence and customer sentiment will also effects negatively on new car revenue. Minimal-desire charges and minimal inflation will, however, continue to promote the economy.  

Naamsa predicts a yr-on-yr advancement of about 15{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3} for combination new vehicle profits for 2021. As for exports, improvements of 20{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3} are envisioned whilst market vehicle output is envisioned to make improvements to by about 18{11267971deaf0da66182ac40f7f045fd96ca421f04ac3850328ca3f52bba07e3}. 

This write-up was at first printed on